Comparison of classic time series and artificial intelligence models, various Holt-Winters hybrid models in predicting the monthly flow discharge in Marun dam reservoir

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract In this study, the data at Idenak hydrometric station were used to predict inflow Maroun Dam reservoir. For purpose, different models such as artificial intelligence, Holt-Winters and hybrid used. Partial mutual information algorithm was determine input parameters affecting modeling monthly by intelligence models. According Hempel Akaike criterion, we introduced with a 3-month lag, temperature 1-month respect lowest values of highest The results showed weak performance model compared other confirmed superiority Holt-adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) root-mean-square error 54 coefficient determination ( R 2 ) 0.83 in testing process mentioned addition, above performed better than test process.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Applied Water Science

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2190-5495', '2190-5487']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13201-023-01944-z